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Maintenance PhD and MSc Thesis Award!
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PhD Defence Lisandro Jimenez Roa | Reliability and...
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Bram Ton on Making Rail Maintenance More Sustainable...
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Prognostic Approaches for Asset Health

A toolkit for predicting the remaining useful life of assets under varying conditions and failure mechanisms, with a selection procedure to assess the most appropriate procedure for various settings.

  • Facilitates asset health predictions/prognostics in a variety of contexts.
  • Demonstrated applicability through case studies.
  • Pioneering technology, which will only now begin being rolled out, so this product will help organizations for the foreseeable future.
Category: Prognostics
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  • Description
  • Details
Performance, cost, and risk

What are the performance, cost, and risk impacts of implementing this product?

  • Performance: Increase objectivity of prediction model selection process, extend component lifetime and increase asset reliability through failure predictions.
  • Cost: Reduce frequency of preventive maintenance actions by enabling just-in-time maintenance and prevent unexpected failures.
  • Risk: General risks involved with replacing PM strategies with PdM strategies (risks of catastrophic failures of unmonitored components, data quality might be inadequate).
Implementation requirements

What capabilities would a business/organization/institution need to have to implement this product?

  • Processes: Preexisting monitoring and diagnostic decision processes.
  • Resources: Sensor data, computational infrastructure, maintenance engineers.
  • Competences: Knowledge of and experience with Bayesian filtering and failure mechanism analysis for asset management, understanding of different predictive approaches to understand selection procedure.
  • Technologies: Bayesian filtering algorithms (e.g., Unscented Kalman Filter), prognostic software (mainly Python).
Related works
  • Keizers (2021). Unscented Kalman Filtering for Prognostics Under Varying Operational and Environmental Conditions.
  • Keizers (2022). Atmospheric Corrosion Prognostics Using a Particle Filter.
  • Keizers et al. (2025). Bayesian filtering based prognostic framework incorporating varying loads.
  • Silveira et al. (2023). Integration of multiple failure mechanisms in a life assessment method for centrifugal pump impellers.
  • Silveira et al. (2024). Quantifying the suitability and feasibility of predictive maintenance approaches.
Contact information

For further inquiries regarding this product, feel free to get in touch with:

  • Richard Loendersloot, University of Twente. r [dot] loendersloot [at] utwente [dot] nl
  • Tiedo Tinga, University of Twente. t [dot] tinga [at] utwente [dot] nl
Industry / demonstrator: Manufacturing

PrimaVera Framework: Prognostics

Product Readiness (TRL): Development

Target Implementation Level: Part -- Equipment unit

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      • Infrastructure
      • Manufacturing
      • Defence
      • Demonstrator
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    • Product Readiness >
      • Deployment
      • Development
      • Discovery
    • Target Implementation >
      • Component/maintainable item
      • Equipment Unit
      • Industry
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      • Plant/unit
      • Section/System
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